Home › Weather › Shoal Bay Weather
Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Australia Voice Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Live data from Open-Meteo · updates automatically ·
Shoal Bay’s weather is shaped by its coastal position on the NSW Mid North Coast. The live forecast above shows today’s conditions; expect mild winters and warm, humid summers with sea breezes that often cool the afternoon heat.
What is the typical weather pattern in Shoal Bay?
Shoal Bay has a subtropical climate. Summers (December–February) average 27–30°C with humidity and afternoon thunderstorms. Winters (June–August) are mild, around 17–19°C, with clear skies. Sea breezes keep the coast cooler than inland areas. The Bureau of Meteorology’s coastal observations provide the most reliable hourly updates.
How accurate are long-range Shoal Bay forecasts?
Seven-day forecasts from the BOM are generally reliable for temperature trends and rain chances. For the shoal bay weather 14 day outlook, confidence drops after day seven. The shoal bay weather 30 day forecast is a broad seasonal guide only – use it for planning holidays, not daily decisions.
What is the best time of year for swimming in Shoal Bay?
Late summer (February–March) is ideal – water temperatures reach 24–26°C and the risk of storms drops. Winters are too cool for most swimmers, with sea temperatures around 18°C.
Does Shoal Bay get many storms?
Yes, especially from November to March when humidity builds. Storms typically form inland and move east. Check the Severe Weather Warning page for current alerts.
Where can I find the shoal bay weather hourly forecast?
The BOM website provides hourly observations from the nearby Nelson Bay station. For wind and swell, use Willy Weather’s marine forecast. Both update every 30 minutes.
Sources
- Bureau of Meteorology – Shoal Bay observations
- Willy Weather – Marine and hourly data
- Weatherzone – 14 day forecast
For broader conditions, see the Australia weather hub or check Sydney Weather.